Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 301.518871 341.369459 385.752412 439.072782 501.685944 573.236440 661.698239
2025-06-22 236.169479 286.581234 347.766848 428.356208 532.995563 666.064023 851.022079
2025-06-29 202.936295 257.564614 327.718499 426.043337 562.953321 750.951887 1036.081848
2025-07-06 173.824477 228.026149 300.613384 407.252959 563.994341 792.724763 1165.205174
2025-07-13 162.173187 219.520753 299.467654 422.428508 613.118471 909.069387 1427.981188
2025-07-20 153.644423 213.895500 300.987437 440.682119 668.432562 1043.237827 1749.581287
2025-07-27 142.451552 202.934764 293.018529 442.687133 697.309359 1138.182736 2024.019425
2025-08-03 129.760549 188.340147 277.744259 430.657949 700.221408 1187.545631 2222.655427
2025-08-10 119.557013 176.543201 265.504148 421.848200 706.897061 1244.013013 2448.635317
2025-08-17 114.979666 173.082191 266.119273 434.745103 754.312923 1386.282657 2898.442935
2025-08-24 108.388765 165.762395 259.581264 434.055802 775.692023 1479.886349 3263.171265
2025-08-31 101.444827 157.277884 250.255895 427.104154 783.540429 1546.026867 3579.510468
2025-09-07 96.366459 151.643756 245.547431 428.644265 809.740792 1659.848754 4066.080075
2025-09-14 90.001907 143.356355 235.482643 418.829429 810.814035 1716.668342 4415.412580
2025-09-21 85.357584 137.691059 229.610815 416.543490 827.773372 1815.030958 4926.524007
2025-09-28 78.943055 128.469468 216.501104 398.263584 806.283818 1812.920064 5118.036314
2025-10-05 77.423887 127.859746 219.312470 413.028876 863.090472 2026.832307 6132.392054
2025-10-12 76.324115 127.908294 223.336276 430.784893 930.056289 2285.830569 7450.909373
2025-10-19 73.436467 124.446138 220.260840 432.734970 958.273291 2441.390307 8452.213437
2025-10-26 69.266643 118.319127 211.472050 421.034556 949.795209 2484.922263 9002.105065
2025-11-02 65.740915 113.208671 204.362274 412.464318 948.415997 2550.968947 9696.357330
2025-11-09 64.602366 112.594889 206.301832 425.010227 1006.046787 2823.759270 11575.825028
2025-11-16 62.242382 109.460102 202.809333 424.339744 1026.941694 2978.966855 12965.115336